Oscar winner: Best Actress in 2027

Julianne Moore (The Debut) leads at 74%, followed by Inde Navarrette (Obsession) at 20% and Zendaya (Dune 3) at 3%, from Kalshi’s prices.

Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.

Chance of each outcomeChance

Julianne Moore (The Debut)Yes 75c · No 28c

74%

Inde Navarrette (Obsession)Yes 20c · No 81c

20%

Zendaya (Dune 3)Yes 5c · No 99c

Anne hathaway (The Odyssey)Yes 3c · No 98c

Sandra Hüller (Rose)Yes 3c · No 98c

Renate Reinsve (Fjord)Yes 2c · No 99c

Olivia Wilde (The Invite)Yes 2c

TieYes 1c

<1%

Penélope Cruz (The Invite)Yes 1c

<1%

Mikey Madison (The Social Reckoning)Yes 1c

<1%

Show 9 more outcomes

Cynthia Erivo (Prima Facie)Yes 1c

<1%

Joan Collins (The Duchess and I)Yes 1c

<1%

Scarlett Johansson (Paper Tiger)Yes 1c

<1%

Kirsten Dunst (The Entertainment System Is Down)Yes 1c

<1%

Natalie Portman (Photograph 51)Yes 1c

<1%

Dakota Johnson (Verity)Yes 1c

<1%

Marion Bailey (Tender Loving Care)Yes 1c

<1%

Shailene Woodley (UNABOMBER)Yes 1c

<1%

Kate O'Flynn (Tender Loving Care)Yes 1c

<1%

Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.

What settles it.

Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Julianne Moore (The Debut).

Kalshi’s ruleJulianne Moore (The Debut)

If Julianne Moore has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.