How high will inflation get in 2026?
No strike crosses 50%. The closest is At least 4.5% at 22%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
At least 4.5%Yes 24c · No 80c
22%At least 5%Yes 14c · No 90c
12%At least 5.5%Yes 6c · No 99c
4%At least 6%Yes 5c · No 98c
4%At least 6.5%Yes 6c · No 97c
5%At least 7%Yes 3c
2%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for At least 4.5%.
Kalshi’s ruleAt least 4.5%
If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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