New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026
The 50% line sits between Above $4.30 (70%) and Above $4.50 (33%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
Above $3.70No 21c
No quoteAbove $3.80Yes 99c · No 22c
98%Above $3.90Yes 99c · No 38c
64%Above $4Yes 99c · No 19c
90%Above $4.10Yes 85c · No 35c
75%Above $4.20Yes 88c · No 42c
No quoteAbove $4.30Yes 79c · No 40c
70%Above $4.40Yes 57c · No 75c
No quoteAbove $4.50Yes 41c · No 90c
33%Above $4.60Yes 37c · No 95c
37%Above $4.70Yes 29c · No 95c
5%Above $4.80Yes 9c · No 97c
6%Above $4.90Yes 10c · No 99c
6%Above $5Yes 4c · No 99c
3%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for Above $4.60.
Kalshi’s ruleAbove $4.60
If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.6000 on Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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