Washington aerospace manufacturing employment in 2026
The 50% line sits between Above 84,000 jobs (66%) and Above 85,000 jobs (20%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
Above 80,000 jobsYes 98c · No 3c
98%Above 81,000 jobsYes 97c · No 4c
97%Above 82,000 jobsYes 96c · No 5c
96%Above 83,000 jobsYes 92c · No 9c
92%Above 84,000 jobsYes 66c · No 35c
66%Above 85,000 jobsYes 20c · No 81c
20%Above 86,000 jobsYes 9c · No 92c
9%Above 87,000 jobsYes 8c · No 93c
8%Above 88,000 jobsYes 7c · No 94c
7%Above 89,000 jobsYes 6c · No 95c
6%Above 90,000 jobsYes 5c · No 96c
5%Above 91,000 jobsYes 4c · No 97c
4%Above 92,000 jobsYes 2c · No 99c
2%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for Above 84,000 jobs.
Kalshi’s ruleAbove 84,000 jobs
If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 84,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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