Economics markets on Kalshi.

Fed decisions, inflation, jobs, growth and recession calls. Each settles on the official release its rules name, such as the Fed's statement or a BLS report.

38 events

Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.

Most traded.

Ranked by contracts traded. The figure on the right is the leading outcome’s chance, read from Kalshi’s prices.

More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025Yes or Nosettles Mar 1, 202731.5M tradedYes95%Number of rate cuts in 202621 outcomessettles Dec 31, 202611.2M traded0 bps96%Recession in 2026Yes or Nosettles Jan 31, 20273.8M tradedYes3%Fed decision in Dec 20265 outcomessettles Dec 9, 20262.4M tradedHike 25bps70%How high will US gas prices get in 2026?13 outcomessettles Jan 1, 20271.9M traded$4.60 or above38%Fed rate cut before 2027Yes or Nosettles Jan 1, 20271.7M tradedYes4%Gas prices in the US in Oct 202632 outcomessettles Oct 31, 20261.5M tradedAbove $4.1891%How high will peak power demand on Texas's ERCOT grid get in 2026?7 outcomessettles Jan 8, 2027913,945 tradedAbove 91,500 MW6%CPI in October 202612 outcomessettles Nov 10, 2026881,898 traded0.2% or above61%How high will unemployment get in 2026?14 outcomessettles Jan 8, 2027813,523 tradedAbove 4.5%12%Recession in 2027Yes or Nosettles Jan 31, 2028793,551 tradedYes19%Core CPI in October 202611 outcomessettles Nov 10, 2026771,339 traded0.2% or above45%Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps in 2026?Yes or Nosettles Jan 1, 2027687,482 tradedYes2%Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting11 outcomessettles Dec 9, 2026684,983 traded4% or above71%CPI YoY in November 202621 outcomessettles Dec 10, 2026658,980 traded3.9% or above43%Washington aerospace manufacturing employment in 202613 outcomessettles May 7, 2027641,930 tradedAbove 84,000 jobs66%New Jersey gas price at year-end 202614 outcomessettles Dec 31, 2026579,606 tradedAbove $4.6037%How high will inflation get in 2026?6 outcomessettles Feb 14, 2027574,536 tradedAt least 4.5%22%Diesel prices in Oct 202621 outcomessettles Nov 7, 2026563,426 tradedAbove $6.3098%When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?8 outcomessettles Jun 1, 2027523,824 tradedBefore Jun 1, 202751%

Every other Economics event.

With the date each one is expected to settle.

When will the next US recession start?Dec 31, 2026Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026Dec 31, 2026How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?Jan 1, 2027Washington professional services employment at the end of 2026Mar 7, 2027US real GDP growth in 2026Feb 28, 2027South Dakota corn yield in 2026Feb 7, 2027How high will gas prices in California get in 2026?Jan 1, 2027Texas crude oil production in 2026Apr 7, 2027CPI YoY in December 2026Jan 13, 2027Number of rate hikes in 2026Jan 3, 2027NYC median asking rent in December 2026Feb 7, 2027US gas prices on Election DayNov 3, 2026Core CPI YoY in November 2026Dec 10, 2026Fed decision in Jan 2027Jan 27, 2027Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026Mar 7, 2027Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026Mar 7, 2027When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?Jun 1, 2027Visitors to Florida in 2026Mar 5, 2027

Learn the mechanics.

01

How Kalshi settles a market

Kalshi settles each market on its written rules, a named source and a set time. Covers payout timing, ties, fair price, the death rule and disputes.

13 min read02

Kalshi odds explained

A Kalshi price in cents is the market's implied chance. How to read YES and NO prices, convert cents to American and decimal odds, and add the fee.

14 min read03

Kalshi fees explained

Kalshi's taker fee is 0.07 × C × P × (1 - P), so the fee on 100 contracts at 50c is $1.75. Fee table by price, maker fees, rounding, deposits.

12 min read

EVDESK is research and trading software. It is not a broker, not an exchange, not a fund and not investment advice. Prices and chances on this page are read from Kalshi’s public market data at the time shown and move constantly. Prediction-market trading can lose money. See the Risk Disclosure. Not affiliated with Kalshi, Inc.