Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
The 50% line sits between Above 97.5 TWh (77%) and Above 100 TWh (6%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
Above 87.5 TWhYes 97c · No 4c
97%Above 90 TWhYes 96c · No 5c
96%Above 92.5 TWhYes 95c · No 6c
95%Above 95 TWhYes 92c · No 9c
92%Above 97.5 TWhYes 78c · No 25c
77%Above 100 TWhYes 6c · No 95c
6%Above 102.5 TWhYes 3c · No 98c
3%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for Above 97.5 TWh.
Kalshi’s ruleAbove 97.5 TWh
If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above 97.5 TWh, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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