Visitors to Florida in 2026
The 50% line sits between Above 140 million (80%) and Above 142 million (38%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
Above 136 millionYes 98c · No 3c
98%Above 138 millionYes 95c · No 6c
95%Above 140 millionYes 80c · No 21c
80%Above 142 millionYes 38c · No 63c
38%Above 144 millionYes 15c · No 86c
15%Above 146 millionYes 3c · No 98c
3%Above 148 millionYes 2c · No 99c
2%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for Above 142 million.
Kalshi’s ruleAbove 142 million
If VISIT FLORIDA reports that the number of visitors to Florida in calendar year 2026 is above 142 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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