Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
The 50% line sits between Above 8.8 million TEUs (82%) and Above 8.9 million TEUs (37%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
Above 8.4 million TEUsYes 96c · No 5c
96%Above 8.5 million TEUsYes 95c · No 6c
95%Above 8.6 million TEUsYes 95c · No 6c
95%Above 8.7 million TEUsYes 91c · No 12c
90%Above 8.8 million TEUsYes 82c · No 19c
82%Above 8.9 million TEUsYes 40c · No 66c
37%Above 9 million TEUsYes 18c · No 83c
18%Above 9.1 million TEUsYes 4c · No 97c
4%Above 9.2 million TEUsYes 3c · No 98c
3%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for Above 8.9 million TEUs.
Kalshi’s ruleAbove 8.9 million TEUs
If the Port Authority reports that the Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in calendar year 2026 is above 8.9 million TEUs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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