Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026
The 50% line sits between Above $4.18 (91%) and Above $4.20 (3%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
Above $2.50No 1c
>99%Above $2.60No 1c
>99%Above $2.70No 1c
>99%Above $2.80No 1c
>99%Above $2.90No 1c
>99%Above $3No 1c
>99%Above $3.10No 1c
>99%Above $3.20No 1c
>99%Above $3.30No 1c
>99%Above $3.40No 1c
>99%Above $3.50No 1c
>99%Above $3.60No 1c
>99%Above $3.70No 1c
>99%Above $3.80No 1c
>99%Above $3.90No 1c
>99%Above $4No 1c
>99%Above $4.10No 1c
>99%Above $4.16No 1c
>99%Above $4.18Yes 92c · No 10c
91%Above $4.20Yes 3c · No 98c
3%Above $4.22Yes 1c
<1%Above $4.24Yes 1c
<1%Above $4.26Yes 1c
<1%Above $4.28Yes 1c
<1%Above $4.30Yes 1c
<1%Above $4.40Yes 1c
<1%Above $4.50Yes 1c
<1%Above $4.60Yes 1c
<1%Above $4.70Yes 1c
<1%Above $4.80Yes 1c
<1%Above $4.90Yes 1c
<1%Above $5Yes 1c
<1%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for Above $4.18.
Kalshi’s ruleAbove $4.18
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.18 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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