CPI in October 2026
The 50% line sits between 0.2% or above (61%) and 0.3% or above (17%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
-0.1% or aboveYes 99c · No 2c
99%0% or aboveYes 99c · No 2c
99%0.1% or aboveYes 94c · No 7c
94%0.2% or aboveYes 62c · No 40c
61%0.3% or aboveYes 18c · No 85c
17%0.4% or aboveYes 12c · No 94c
9%6 higher strikes, each under 3%
0.5% or aboveYes 2c · No 99c
2%0.6% or aboveYes 4c · No 99c
3%0.7% or aboveYes 1c
<1%0.8% or aboveYes 1c
<1%0.9% or aboveYes 1c
<1%1% or aboveYes 3c
2%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for 0.2% or above.
Kalshi’s rule0.2% or above
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.2% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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