Core CPI in October 2026
The 50% line sits between 0.1% or above (79%) and 0.2% or above (45%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
0 or aboveYes 90c · No 19c
86%0.1% or aboveYes 82c · No 24c
79%0.2% or aboveYes 45c · No 56c
45%0.3% or aboveYes 10c · No 92c
9%0.4% or aboveYes 6c · No 96c
5%6 higher strikes, each under 3%
0.5% or aboveYes 2c · No 99c
2%0.6% or aboveYes 2c · No 99c
2%0.7% or aboveYes 1c
<1%0.8% or aboveYes 1c
<1%0.9% or aboveYes 1c
<1%1 or aboveYes 1c
<1%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for 0.2% or above.
Kalshi’s rule0.2% or above
If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for October 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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