NYC median asking rent in December 2026
The 50% line sits between Above $3,900 (88%) and Above $4,000 (50%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
Above $3,800Yes 97c · No 4c
97%Above $3,900Yes 88c · No 13c
88%Above $4,000Yes 50c · No 51c
50%Above $4,100Yes 21c · No 80c
21%Above $4,200Yes 8c · No 93c
8%Above $4,300Yes 6c · No 95c
6%Above $4,400Yes 4c · No 97c
4%Above $4,500Yes 3c · No 98c
3%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for Above $4,000.
Kalshi’s ruleAbove $4,000
If StreetEasy reports that New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 is above $4,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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