South Dakota corn yield in 2026
The 50% line sits between Above 150 bu/acre (57%) and Above 155 bu/acre (32%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
Above 125 bu/acreYes 99c · No 2c
99%Above 130 bu/acreYes 98c · No 3c
98%Above 135 bu/acreYes 96c · No 5c
96%Above 140 bu/acreYes 90c · No 11c
90%Above 145 bu/acreYes 79c · No 22c
79%Above 150 bu/acreYes 57c · No 44c
57%Above 155 bu/acreYes 32c · No 69c
32%Above 160 bu/acreYes 14c · No 88c
13%Above 165 bu/acreYes 9c · No 92c
9%Above 170 bu/acreYes 9c · No 92c
9%Above 175 bu/acreYes 7c · No 94c
7%Above 180 bu/acreYes 5c · No 96c
5%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for Above 150 bu/acre.
Kalshi’s ruleAbove 150 bu/acre
If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 150 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
More economics markets.
How high will gas prices in California get in 2026?8 outcomessettles Jan 1, 2027404,718 traded$6.80 or above21%US real GDP growth in 202614 outcomessettles Feb 28, 2027448,934 traded2.1% to 2.5%71%Texas crude oil production in 20264 outcomessettles Apr 7, 2027395,902 tradedAbove 5.8 million barrels/day9%Washington professional services employment at the end of 202610 outcomessettles Mar 7, 2027457,098 tradedAbove 260,000 jobs45%CPI YoY in December 202621 outcomessettles Jan 13, 2027372,123 traded3.9% or above56%How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?9 outcomessettles Jan 1, 2027471,272 tradedMore than $1.4 trillion11%