How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year in 2026?
No strike crosses 50%. The closest is $62.99 or below at 7%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
$49.99 or belowYes 3c · No 99c
2%$54.99 or belowYes 4c · No 98c
3%$55.99 or belowYes 5c · No 98c
4%$56.99 or belowYes 5c · No 98c
4%$57.99 or belowYes 5c · No 98c
4%$58.99 or belowYes 5c · No 98c
4%$59.99 or belowYes 4c · No 99c
3%$60.99 or belowYes 5c · No 98c
4%$61.99 or belowYes 5c · No 97c
4%$62.99 or belowYes 8c · No 95c
7%$63.99 or belowYes 8c · No 96c
6%$64.99 or belowYes 6c · No 96c
5%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for $62.99 or below.
Kalshi’s rule$62.99 or below
If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $63 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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