USD/BRL high in 2026
The 50% line sits between 5.5 or above (97%) and 6 or above (23%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
5.5 or aboveNo 6c
97%5.75 or aboveYes 51c · No 83c
No quote6 or aboveYes 35c · No 87c
23%6.25 or aboveYes 50c
5%6.5 or aboveYes 11c · No 96c
8%6.75 or aboveYes 5c · No 97c
4%7 or aboveYes 17c
9%7.25 or aboveYes 14c
7%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for 6 or above.
Kalshi’s rule6 or above
If the USD/BRL rises above 5.9999 before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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