How many straight weeks will 'SWAG' be #1?
No strike crosses 50%. The closest is More than 10 weeks at 3%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
More than 1 weekYes 3c ยท No 99c
2%More than 2 weeksYes 1c
<1%More than 3 weeksYes 3c
2%More than 4 weeksYes 3c
2%More than 5 weeksYes 3c
2%More than 6 weeksYes 2c
1%More than 7 weeksYes 1c
<1%More than 8 weeksYes 1c
<1%More than 9 weeksYes 1c
<1%More than 10 weeksYes 5c
3%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for More than 10 weeks.
Kalshi’s ruleMore than 10 weeks
If SWAG has had the #1 spot on the Billboard 200 for more than 10 consecutive weeks, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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