Video games released in 2026
Phantom Blade Zero leads at >99%, followed by Grand Theft Auto VI at 98% and Light No Fire at 6%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Phantom Blade ZeroNo 1c
>99%Grand Theft Auto VIYes 98c · No 3c
98%Light No FireYes 7c · No 96c
6%Iron ManYes 6c · No 98c
4%Squadron 42Yes 4c · No 98c
3%Haunted ChocolatierYes 5c · No 99c
3%Half-Life 3Yes 3c · No 98c
3%The DuskbloodsYes 3c · No 98c
3%ARK 2Yes 4c · No 99c
3%Kingdom Hearts 4Yes 3c · No 99c
2%Show 3 more outcomes
Final Fantasy VII Remake #3Yes 2c · No 99c
2%Super Mario Galaxy 3Yes 2c · No 99c
2%The Elder Scrolls 6Yes 2c
1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Phantom Blade Zero.
Kalshi’s rulePhantom Blade Zero
If Phantom Blade Zero is fully released before Jan 1, 2027 on any platform in the United States, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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