Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
Stephen Miran leads at 10%, followed by Kevin Hassett at 8% and Rick Rieder at 6%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Stephen MiranYes 11c · No 92c
10%Kevin HassettYes 10c · No 94c
8%Rick RiederYes 9c · No 98c
6%Michelle BowmanYes 8c · No 98c
5%Lorie LoganYes 8c · No 99c
5%Judy SheltonYes 7c · No 99c
4%Marc SumerlinYes 7c · No 99c
4%David MalpassYes 7c · No 99c
4%Philip JeffersonYes 7c · No 99c
4%James BullardYes 6c · No 99c
4%Show 2 more outcomes
Scott BessentYes 7c
4%Christopher WallerYes 4c · No 99c
3%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Stephen Miran.
Kalshi’s ruleStephen Miran
If Stephen Miran is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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