How many Supreme Court justices will be confirmed by 2029?
The likeliest range is 0 at 45%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each rangeChance
0Yes 46c · No 57c
45%1Yes 27c · No 75c
26%2Yes 16c · No 85c
16%3Yes 6c · No 99c
4%6 higher ranges, each under 3%
4Yes 2c · No 99c
2%5Yes 3c
2%6Yes 2c
1%7Yes 2c
1%8Yes 2c
1%9Yes 2c
1%Each range is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the ranges can add up to slightly more or less than 100%.
What settles it.
Every range uses the same rule with its own numbers in it. The rule below is for 0.
Kalshi’s rule0
If 0 Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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