Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before 2028?
Kalshi's prices put Before 2027 at 3% and Before 2028 at 21%.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance by each dateChance
Before 2027Yes 3c · No 98c
3%Before 2028Yes 23c · No 81c
21%Each date is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Dates run earliest to latest.
What settles it.
Every date uses the same rule with its own deadline in it. The rule below is for Before 2028.
Kalshi’s ruleBefore 2028
If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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