Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
Bongbong Marcos leads at 95%, followed by Vladimir Putin at 81% and Mohammed bin Salman at 71%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Bongbong MarcosYes 96c · No 7c
95%Vladimir PutinYes 82c · No 20c
81%Mohammed bin SalmanYes 72c · No 31c
71%Peter ThielYes 29c · No 74c
28%Abelardo de la EspriellaYes 30c · No 77c
27%Gavin NewsomYes 19c · No 86c
17%Kim Jong UnYes 17c · No 85c
16%Jerome PowellYes 11c · No 97c
7%Marjorie Taylor GreeneYes 7c · No 94c
7%Reza PahlaviYes 7c · No 95c
6%Show 5 more outcomes
Tim WalzYes 7c · No 95c
6%Pope Leo XIVYes 5c · No 95c
5%Lai Ching-teYes 6c · No 97c
5%Bill ClintonYes 8c · No 99c
5%Nicolás MaduroYes 5c · No 98c
4%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Bongbong Marcos.
Kalshi’s ruleBongbong Marcos
If Donald Trump and Bongbong Marcos meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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