How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
The 50% line sits between Below 35% (35%) and Below 36% (70%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
Below 33%Yes 14c · No 88c
13%Below 34%Yes 16c · No 85c
16%Below 35%Yes 36c · No 66c
35%Below 36%Yes 70c · No 31c
70%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for Below 35%.
Kalshi’s ruleBelow 35%
If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 35%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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