Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
Kalshi's prices put Before Nov 1, 2026 at <1% and Before Apr 1, 2027 at 34%.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance by each dateChance
Before Nov 1, 2026Yes 1c
<1%Before Dec 1, 2026Yes 13c · No 89c
12%Before Jan 1, 2027Yes 28c · No 73c
28%Before Apr 1, 2027Yes 34c · No 67c
34%Each date is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Dates run earliest to latest.
What settles it.
Every date uses the same rule with its own deadline in it. The rule below is for Before Apr 1, 2027.
Kalshi’s ruleBefore Apr 1, 2027
If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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