Will President Trump be impeached before January 20, 2029?

Kalshi's prices put the chance of Yes at 70%.

Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.

Chance of Yes, from Kalshi’s pricesYes or No market
70%
Yes costs
70c
No costs
31c
A Yes contract pays $1 if the market settles Yes and nothing if it settles No. The chance is the midpoint of the best bid and offer in Kalshi’s public order book.

What settles it.

This market has one rule, shown below.

Kalshi’s ruleYes or No
If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.

More politics markets.

Will Trump be impeached before 2028?10 outcomessettles Nov 3, 20263.4M tradedBefore Jan 1, 202866%Who will be the next Supreme Court justice by January 20, 2029?41 outcomessettles Jan 21, 2029759,550 tradedTed Cruz12%Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?Yes or Nosettles Jan 20, 2029792,192 tradedYes21%Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?4 outcomessettles Jan 1, 2027707,491 tradedBefore Apr 1, 202734%Will the US recognize Reza Pahlavi as Iran's leader in 2026?Yes or Nosettles Jan 1, 20271.1M tradedYes6%Which bills will become law in 2026?30 outcomessettles Jan 1, 2027654,345 tradedExport-control chip security37%

EVDESK is research and trading software. It is not a broker, not an exchange, not a fund and not investment advice. Prices and chances on this page are read from Kalshi’s public market data at the time shown and move constantly. Prediction-market trading can lose money. See the Risk Disclosure. Not affiliated with Kalshi, Inc.