Will Trump be impeached before 2028?
Kalshi's prices put Before Jan 1, 2027 at 4% and Before Jan 1, 2028 at 66%.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance by each dateChance
Before Jan 1, 2027Yes 4c · No 96c
4%Before Feb 1, 2027Yes 14c · No 87c
14%Before Mar 1, 2027Yes 26c · No 75c
26%Before Apr 1, 2027Yes 34c · No 67c
34%Before May 1, 2027Yes 39c · No 63c
38%Before Jun 1, 2027Yes 41c · No 60c
41%Before Jul 1, 2027Yes 48c · No 53c
48%Before Aug 1, 2027Yes 50c · No 52c
49%Before Oct 1, 2027Yes 62c · No 39c
62%Before Jan 1, 2028Yes 66c · No 35c
66%Each date is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Dates run earliest to latest.
What settles it.
Every date uses the same rule with its own deadline in it. The rule below is for Before Jan 1, 2028.
Kalshi’s ruleBefore Jan 1, 2028
If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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