Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Kalshi's prices put Before 2027 at 3% and Before January 21, 2029 at 21%.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance by each dateChance
Before 2027Yes 3c · No 98c
3%Before January 21, 2029Yes 21c · No 80c
21%Each date is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Dates run earliest to latest.
What settles it.
Every date uses the same rule with its own deadline in it. The rule below is for Before January 21, 2029.
Kalshi’s ruleBefore January 21, 2029
If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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