Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Ilhan Omar leads at 48%, followed by John Brennan at 22% and Corey Lewandowski at 18%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Ilhan OmarYes 48c · No 53c
48%John BrennanYes 23c · No 79c
22%Corey LewandowskiYes 18c · No 83c
18%Larry KrasnerYes 19c · No 89c
15%Gustavo PetroYes 15c · No 88c
14%Anthony FauciYes 13c · No 88c
13%Dan J. SullivanYes 13c · No 88c
13%Fani WillisYes 13c · No 88c
13%Jack SmithYes 11c · No 90c
11%Lisa CookYes 10c · No 90c
10%Show 35 more outcomes
James ClapperYes 10c · No 90c
10%Hillary ClintonYes 13c · No 94c
10%Keith EllisonYes 10c · No 91c
10%Peter StrzokYes 10c · No 91c
10%Cassidy HutchinsonYes 9c · No 92c
9%Tim WalzYes 8c · No 92c
8%Hunter BidenYes 8c · No 92c
8%Kimberly GuilfoyleYes 9c · No 93c
8%Miles TaylorYes 12c · No 96c
8%Adam SchiffYes 9c · No 94c
8%Lisa MonacoYes 8c · No 94c
7%Leon BlackYes 9c · No 95c
7%Gavin NewsomYes 7c · No 94c
7%Tucker CarlsonYes 8c · No 95c
7%Jennifer Siebel NewsomYes 7c · No 94c
7%Andrew WeissmannYes 8c · No 95c
7%Mark KellyYes 6c · No 94c
6%Mark MilleyYes 6c · No 94c
6%Chris KrebsYes 8c · No 96c
6%Joe KentYes 6c · No 94c
6%Pam BondiYes 8c · No 97c
6%E. Jean CarrollYes 6c · No 95c
6%Liz CheneyYes 6c · No 95c
6%Elissa SlotkinYes 6c · No 95c
6%Jacob FreyYes 6c · No 96c
5%Christopher WrayYes 5c · No 95c
5%Alvin BraggYes 6c · No 97c
5%Letitia JamesYes 5c · No 97c
4%Reid HoffmanYes 5c · No 97c
4%George SorosYes 4c · No 97c
4%Chris ChristieYes 5c · No 98c
4%Barack ObamaYes 3c · No 97c
3%Bill ClintonYes 3c · No 97c
3%Joe BidenYes 3c · No 97c
3%Jerome PowellYes 3c · No 97c
3%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Ilhan Omar.
Kalshi’s ruleIlhan Omar
If Ilhan Omar has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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