US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027
Kalshi's prices put the chance of Yes at 4%.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes, from Kalshi’s pricesYes or No market
4%
- Yes costs
- 4c
- No costs
- 96c
A Yes contract pays $1 if the market settles Yes and nothing if it settles No. The chance is the midpoint of the best bid and offer in Kalshi’s public order book.
What settles it.
This market has one rule, shown below.
Kalshi’s ruleYes or No
If the Nuclear Regulatory Commission has issued a new combined license authorizing the construction and operations of a new nuclear power facility by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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