When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Kalshi's prices put Before Nov 1, 2026 at 1% and Before Jan 1, 2027 at 8%.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance by each dateChance
Before Nov 1, 2026Yes 2c
1%Before Dec 1, 2026Yes 4c · No 97c
4%Before Jan 1, 2027Yes 9c · No 94c
8%Each date is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Dates run earliest to latest.
What settles it.
Every date uses the same rule with its own deadline in it. The rule below is for Before Jan 1, 2027.
Kalshi’s ruleBefore Jan 1, 2027
If Anthropic releases A model called Mythos before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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