NASA lands on the moon
Kalshi's prices put Before 2027 at <1% and Before 2030 at 42%.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance by each dateChance
Before 2027Yes 1c
<1%Before 2028Yes 3c · No 98c
3%Before 2029Yes 30c · No 73c
29%Before 2030Yes 43c · No 60c
42%Each date is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Dates run earliest to latest.
What settles it.
Every date uses the same rule with its own deadline in it. The rule below is for Before 2030.
Kalshi’s ruleBefore 2030
If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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