When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
Kalshi's prices put Before Nov 6, 2026 at 11% and Before Dec 31, 2026 at 66%.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance by each dateChance
Before Nov 6, 2026Yes 11c · No 90c
11%Before Nov 13, 2026Yes 30c · No 75c
28%Before Dec 31, 2026Yes 72c · No 40c
66%Each date is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Dates run earliest to latest.
What settles it.
Every date uses the same rule with its own deadline in it. The rule below is for Before Dec 31, 2026.
Kalshi’s ruleBefore Dec 31, 2026
If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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