Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Las Vegas, NV leads at 92%, followed by Denver, CO at 87% and Detroit, MI at 12%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Las Vegas, NVYes 92c · No 9c
92%Denver, COYes 87c · No 14c
87%Detroit, MIYes 14c · No 90c
12%Seattle, WAYes 8c · No 93c
8%Sacramento, CAYes 7c · No 94c
7%London, UKYes 7c · No 94c
7%Portland, ORYes 6c · No 95c
6%New Orleans, LAYes 6c · No 95c
6%Philadelphia, PAYes 6c · No 95c
6%Chicago, ILYes 6c · No 95c
6%Show 9 more outcomes
Charlotte, NCYes 5c · No 96c
5%Baltimore, MDYes 5c · No 96c
5%Washington, DCYes 4c · No 97c
4%St. Louis, MOYes 4c · No 97c
4%Minneapolis, MNYes 4c · No 97c
4%New York, NYYes 4c · No 97c
4%Boston, MAYes 4c · No 97c
4%Pittsburgh, PAYes 4c · No 97c
4%Tokyo, JapanYes 4c · No 97c
4%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Las Vegas, NV.
Kalshi’s ruleLas Vegas, NV
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Las Vegas, NV before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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