Will the Clarity Act become law before Jan 1, 2028?
Kalshi's prices put Before Nov 1, 2026 at <1% and Before Jan 1, 2028 at 20%.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance by each dateChance
Before Nov 1, 2026Yes 1c
<1%Before Dec 1, 2026Yes 2c · No 99c
2%Before 2027Yes 6c · No 94c
6%Before Apr 1, 2027Yes 10c · No 91c
10%Before Jul 1, 2027Yes 22c · No 81c
21%Before Oct 1, 2027Yes 21c · No 81c
20%Before Jan 1, 2028Yes 20c · No 81c
20%Each date is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Dates run earliest to latest.
What settles it.
Every date uses the same rule with its own deadline in it. The rule below is for Before Jan 1, 2028.
Kalshi’s ruleBefore Jan 1, 2028
If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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