Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Ric Grenell leads at 65%, followed by Mike Waltz at 40% and Susie WIles (Chief of Staff) at 38%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Ric GrenellYes 68c · No 38c
65%Mike WaltzYes 44c · No 64c
40%Susie WIles (Chief of Staff)Yes 38c · No 63c
38%Kevin HassettYes 38c · No 69c
35%Pete HegsethYes 34c · No 67c
34%Amy GleasonYes 33c · No 69c
32%Tilman FertittaYes 35c · No 73c
31%Doug CollinsYes 29c · No 73c
28%Joe GebbiaYes 27c · No 79c
24%Bill PulteYes 24c · No 77c
24%Show 25 more outcomes
Kash Patel (Director of the FBI)Yes 21c · No 80c
21%Mike HuckabeeYes 21c · No 82c
20%Steve WitkoffYes 18c · No 83c
18%Linda McMahonYes 18c · No 83c
18%Chris WrightYes 18c · No 84c
17%Brooke RollinsYes 18c · No 84c
17%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Yes 17c · No 84c
17%Howard LutnickYes 17c · No 86c
16%Peter NavarroYes 16c · No 86c
15%Tom HomanYes 15c · No 86c
15%Scott TurnerYes 15c · No 86c
15%Russell VoughtYes 15c · No 87c
14%Rodney ScottYes 16c · No 88c
14%Marco RubioYes 16c · No 89c
14%John RatcliffeYes 14c · No 87c
14%Sean DuffyYes 14c · No 88c
13%Kelly LoefflerYes 15c · No 90c
13%Steven Cheung (White House Communications Director)Yes 12c · No 89c
12%Jamieson GreerYes 12c · No 89c
12%Doug BurgumYes 12c · No 90c
11%Mehmet OzYes 11c · No 90c
11%Brendan CarrYes 12c · No 91c
11%Stephen MillerYes 10c · No 92c
9%Lee ZeldinYes 9c · No 95c
7%Scott BessentYes 8c · No 95c
7%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Ric Grenell.
Kalshi’s ruleRic Grenell
If Ric Grenell leaves as Special Presidential Envoy for Special Missions before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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