Will Donald Trump announce his departure as President?
Kalshi's prices put Before 2027 at 4% and Before January 20, 2029 at 27%.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance by each dateChance
Before 2027Yes 4c · No 96c
4%Before 2028Yes 22c · No 79c
22%Before January 20, 2029Yes 27c · No 74c
27%Each date is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Dates run earliest to latest.
What settles it.
Every date uses the same rule with its own deadline in it. The rule below is for Before January 20, 2029.
Kalshi’s ruleBefore January 20, 2029
If Donald Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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