Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Kalshi's prices put Before 2027 at 3% and Before January 20, 2029 at 14%.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance by each dateChance
Before 2027Yes 4c · No 98c
3%Before January 20, 2029Yes 16c · No 88c
14%Each date is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Dates run earliest to latest.
What settles it.
Every date uses the same rule with its own deadline in it. The rule below is for Before January 20, 2029.
Kalshi’s ruleBefore January 20, 2029
If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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