Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Kalshi's prices put Before Jan 1, 2027 at 3% and Before Jul 1, 2027 at 8%.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance by each dateChance
Before Jan 1, 2027Yes 4c · No 98c
3%Before Jul 1, 2027Yes 8c · No 93c
8%Each date is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Dates run earliest to latest.
What settles it.
Every date uses the same rule with its own deadline in it. The rule below is for Before Jul 1, 2027.
Kalshi’s ruleBefore Jul 1, 2027
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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